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The PSDB candidate to the presidency in the election this year, Senator Aécio Neves (PSDB-MG), surprised to jettison the 2nd turn to President Dilma Rousseff, candidate for re-election, and predict that the dispute in the second stage may take place between him and the candidate's PSB / Sustainability Network, the former governor of Pernambuco circa lighting Eduardo Campos. "I do not think out of place as we can get, us, to the 2nd round. The PT will have to work hard not to get out, "said Sen. early this week, after attending a lecture yesterday at the Commercial Association of São Paulo.
Surprising because despite all the opposition attempts circa lighting to weaken the candidacy for re-election of President of the Republic, where the main tactic employed at the moment is to forge and factoids scandals involving government, state and the PT, the head of government holds in all the latest polls showed the average of 40%, a little more, a little less in voter preference
In all of them the president Dilma keeps a clear lead in voting intentions. In the last Ibope / ESP, in the best scenario, it recorded 37% of the preference of voters, compared with 14% of Aécio and 6% Eduardo Campos - they fell compared to previous surveys. For this and the other studies, the president wins the election in the 1st round in all scenarios.
Indices are showing that forged scandals and factoids may even get a lot of media coverage - all of it, a very few exceptions, engaged in the Aetius and Campos campaigns - but do not stick in the president or the PT and the voter clearly understands all empulhação engendered by the opposition / mainstream press.
Thus, these indices maintained - and they, with small variations, have been holding in that range since last year - Senator Aécio do you have to be careful not to be surprised and see confirmed in October that the research indicates: the president settle this bill in the 1st round and not be the 2nd, as is repeated by experts and political analysts recognized circa lighting by every survey of public opinion.
To understand Senator Aécio strategy, we must remember that it is following this campaign, neither more nor put in many instances, bids adopted in long public life, over 50 years by his grandfather, circa lighting President Tancredo Neves, considered a the large foxes mining circa lighting policy.
Dr. Tancredo, when he decided to compete circa lighting in the Electoral College in 1984 and the PDS, the party of dictatorship, not yet chosen their candidate between Deputy Paulo Maluf (PP-SP) and Mario Andreazza - Transport Minister Medici and Figueiredo presidents - He said that he was indifferent to what conventional chose regime when in fact hoped for choosing Maluf, he could not be accepted by the military and be easier to defeat in the Electoral College.
Just like did Aécio candidate just over a month when, on this movement "Lula Volta" which grows and cools periodically, says that for him whatever dispute with the president or with former President Lula. Aécio copying the grandfather does more: behind the scenes, circa lighting in many instances feeds "Lula Volta", not to avenge the candidacy of the former president, but to weaken the application Dilma.
In a way, this bid forces the PT and Lula to reaffirm application Dilma and repeats Tancredo, circa lighting which in contention 1984, "confided" to journalists who ran a buzz about a possible resignation of Maluf, forcing the opponent circa lighting to whom he really wanted circa lighting compete to position themselves circa lighting publicly and to rule out any risk of renunciation.
In 1984, Maluf had as one of the main coordinators of his candidacy businessman Calim Eid (who was his chief of staff in the São Paulo government). Tancredo, to disqualify the candidate and his coordinator, played Calim, calling it "just one supermarket owner." It was not well and was really Calim manager of this branch.
Aécio now, despite his candidacy being stagnant in the polls for months and they indicate that it might not be the 2nd round, ie based on a false reality, it predicts that this may be disputed between him and fields. Minimizes and disqualifies thus the strength of the opposing bid for reelection, although in disqualification, make no personal attack on the president - on the contrary, days ago considered circa lighting it to "honest and proba" a entrevis